Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Toluca v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Toluca 2-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca beat Tijuana 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Toluca had 51% of the ball to Tijuana's 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.56 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toluca and 1.83 for Tijuana.
Toluca vs Tijuana Result & Final Score
Toluca 2 - 0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Toluca 70%, draw 18%, Tijuana 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.