Toluca vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Toluca vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-0
Toluca
MEK
3-3
HT 0-3
Toluca
MEK
3-1
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Tijuana
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Toluca
MEK
3-2
HT 3-1
Toluca
MEK
Toluca 2-0 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca beat Tijuana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Toluca had 51% of the ball to Tijuana's 49%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.56 to 0.58.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tijuana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Toluca and 1.83 for Tijuana.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Tijuana?
Toluca 2-0 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs Tijuana?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Toluca 59%, draw 23%, Tijuana 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.