Tigres UANL 1-1 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
19.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -16%
1.70/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.57
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.9 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Atlas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.02
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
378 Passes 225
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.09.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
19.02.2023 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.07.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-0 HT 2-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
22.05.2022 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 4-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
19.05.2022 Atlas Atlas 3-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
01.05.2022 Atlas Atlas 1-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
1-1
AWAY Atlas
1.08 xG 1.19
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
525 Passes 282
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL and Atlas couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tigres UANL at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 62% of the ball to Atlas's 38%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.08 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tigres UANL had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.33 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Atlas?

Tigres UANL 1-1 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 50%, draw 25%, Atlas 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
25 Feb 2024
02:00 Leon vs Atletico San Luis Analysis →
04:05 Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM Analysis →
06:10 Club America vs Cruz Azul Analysis →
21:00 Toluca vs Tijuana Analysis →