Amazonas 1-0 America Mineiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.36
6+ Goals
6%
22.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 37% vs market 31.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
40%
-10.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.8pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
0.97/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.16
+6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
19.1 Crosses 16.6
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amazonas
0W-1D-0L
AWAY America Mineiro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.74 xG 1.15
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
234 Passes 392
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Amazonas Amazonas BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-0
AWAY America Mineiro
0.77 xG 0.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 381
84% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs America Mineiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Amazonas had 47% of the ball to America Mineiro's 53%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.77 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs America Mineiro?

Amazonas 1-0 America Mineiro in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs America Mineiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 42%, draw 29%, America Mineiro 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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