Mirassol FC 4-1 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.59
Over 2.5
40%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.05/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.17
-29% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
20.5 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirassol FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Coritiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.28 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
272 Passes 467
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
7 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Coritiba Coritiba 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol FC
4-1
AWAY Coritiba
1.30 xG 0.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
385 Passes 420
87% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mirassol FC vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirassol FC swept aside Coritiba 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mirassol FC as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mirassol FC had 48% of the ball to Coritiba's 52%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.30 to 0.37.

What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Coritiba?

Mirassol FC 4-1 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 50%, draw 27%, Coritiba 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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