Coritiba vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Coritiba v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Coritiba 0-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Mirassol FC nicked a narrow win over Coritiba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Coritiba at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Coritiba had 62% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 38%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.11 to 0.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Coritiba.
What was the final score of Coritiba vs Mirassol FC?
Coritiba 0-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Coritiba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Coritiba 45%, draw 29%, Mirassol FC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Coritiba) went the other way.