Brusque 0-1 Botafogo SP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.01
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.6pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +14%
1.26/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.01
-29% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.9 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 0.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
286 Passes 289
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2024 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 2-2 HT 1-0 Brusque Brusque BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
0-1
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.03 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 204
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Botafogo SP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP nicked a narrow win over Brusque 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Botafogo SP found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brusque had 59% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 41%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 1.03 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Botafogo SP?

Brusque 0-1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Botafogo SP?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brusque 40%, draw 31%, Botafogo SP 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brusque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brusque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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