Stellenbosch FC 1-1 TS Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.39
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 40% vs market 37.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.4pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY TS Galaxy EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
1.27/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.29
-1% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.0 Crosses 12.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
4W-2D-0L
AWAY TS Galaxy
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
274 Passes 332
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-1 HT 2-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAF8K
21.04.2024 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 1-2 HT 1-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
16.12.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-1 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFLK
04.10.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 3-0 HT 2-0 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy GAFPSL
12.03.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 3-6 HT 1-2 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
08.01.2023 TS Galaxy TS Galaxy 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
1-1
AWAY TS Galaxy
0.79 xG 1.06
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
339 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stellenbosch FC and TS Galaxy shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 50% of the ball to TS Galaxy's 50%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.79 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.00 for TS Galaxy.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy?

Stellenbosch FC 1-1 TS Galaxy in the South Afrika - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs TS Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 48%, draw 28%, TS Galaxy 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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