Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Polokwane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.1
6+ Goals
7%
19.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 35% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.1pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.52/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.03
+19% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -29%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
15.2 Crosses 18.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Polokwane City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.71 xG 0.69
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
506 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Polokwane City Polokwane City 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
11.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
30.12.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-0 HT 0-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAFPSL
30.08.2023 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
10.03.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 HT 4-0 Polokwane City Polokwane City GAF8K
02.09.2020 Polokwane City Polokwane City 0-3 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY Polokwane City
1.54 xG 0.46
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
588 Passes 160
88% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 7
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns got the better of Polokwane City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 72% of the ball to Polokwane City's 28%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.54 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.17 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 52%, draw 30%, Polokwane City 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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