Crvena Zvezda U19 1-2 Barcelona U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.14
Over 2.5
62%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.9
2-3 Goals
42%
2.3
4-5 Goals
28%
2.4
6+ Goals
10%
4.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+9.0pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.5pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
28%
+9.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
72%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.6pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crvena Zvezda U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.44/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.87/1.81
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -34%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crvena Zvezda U19
1-2
AWAY Barcelona U19
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Barcelona U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona U19 edged past Crvena Zvezda U19 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona U19 as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Crvena Zvezda U19 had 37% of the ball to Barcelona U19's 63%, shots finished 5-18.

What was the final score of Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Crvena Zvezda U19 1-2 Barcelona U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crvena Zvezda U19 vs Barcelona U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Crvena Zvezda U19 25%, draw 18%, Barcelona U19 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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