Sparta Prag U19 1-1 Brest U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.29
Over 2.5
65%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.66
No
38%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
4.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
6+ Goals
14%
7.73
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.1pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag U19 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Brest U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag U19
1-1
AWAY Brest U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag U19 vs Brest U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag U19 and Brest U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Sparta Prag U19 carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Sparta Prag U19 had 66% of the ball to Brest U19's 34%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag U19 vs Brest U19?

Sparta Prag U19 1-1 Brest U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag U19 vs Brest U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag U19 56%, draw 20%, Brest U19 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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