IMT Novi Beograd U19 1-0 FCV Farul U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 6 Nov 2024

📅06/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.33
Over 2.5
58%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.55
X/1
14%
4.43
X/2 EV+ ✗
16%
8.66
X/X
10%
5.9
2/1
5%
20.7
2/2
10%
5.79
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · X/2 at 8.66 — our 16% vs market 8.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.1pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IMT Novi Beograd U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FCV Farul U19 EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IMT Novi Beograd U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FCV Farul U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.10.2024 FCV Farul U19 2-0 HT 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd U19 IMT Novi Beograd U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IMT Novi Beograd U19
1-0
AWAY FCV Farul U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH IMT Novi Beograd U19 vs FCV Farul U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IMT Novi Beograd U19 nicked a narrow win over FCV Farul U19 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IMT Novi Beograd U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IMT Novi Beograd U19 had 56% of the ball to FCV Farul U19's 44%, shots finished 22-11.

What was the final score of IMT Novi Beograd U19 vs FCV Farul U19?

IMT Novi Beograd U19 1-0 FCV Farul U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 06/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IMT Novi Beograd U19 vs FCV Farul U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a IMT Novi Beograd U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IMT Novi Beograd U19 43%, draw 24%, FCV Farul U19 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IMT Novi Beograd U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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