FCV Farul U19 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

FCV Farul U19
2-0 HT 2-0
IMT Novi Beograd U19
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

FCV Farul U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
8%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
18%
5.37
X/2
9%
6.28
X/X
6%
5.53
2/1
5%
23.6
2/2
21%
3.88
2/X
9%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FCV Farul U19 v IMT Novi Beograd U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FCV Farul U19 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY IMT Novi Beograd U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH FCV Farul U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FCV Farul U19 beat IMT Novi Beograd U19 2-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 20% / 39%) promised a tight game; FCV Farul U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of FCV Farul U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19?

FCV Farul U19 2-0 IMT Novi Beograd U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FCV Farul U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a FCV Farul U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FCV Farul U19 42%, draw 20%, IMT Novi Beograd U19 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FCV Farul U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FCV Farul U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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