Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 2-1 Dinamo Minsk U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 27% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.84
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
4%
17.55
X/1
24%
3.6
X/2
7%
12.55
X/X
10%
5.95
2/1
5%
22.7
2/2
11%
10.1
2/X
4%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Minsk U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +64% / +64%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% /
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
394 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb U19
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Minsk U19
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Dinamo Minsk U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 edged past Dinamo Minsk U19 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 had 59% of the ball to Dinamo Minsk U19's 41%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Dinamo Minsk U19?

Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 2-1 Dinamo Minsk U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Dinamo Minsk U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 57%, draw 19%, Dinamo Minsk U19 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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