Brest U19 1-1 Leverkusen U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

Brest U19
1-1 HT 1-1
Leverkusen U19
📅23/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Brest U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.34
Draw
28%
4.49
Away
43%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.15
Over 2.5
46%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.12
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 30% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+14.0pp
28%
Draw
19%
+8.6pp
43%
Away Win
66%
-22.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
43%
+11.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
57%
-11.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest U19 v Leverkusen U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest U19 EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Leverkusen U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
197 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Brest U19 vs Leverkusen U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brest U19 and Leverkusen U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Leverkusen U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Brest U19 vs Leverkusen U19?

Brest U19 1-1 Leverkusen U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest U19 vs Leverkusen U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leverkusen U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brest U19 29%, draw 28%, Leverkusen U19 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leverkusen U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leverkusen U19) ✓ Under 2.5
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