Dynamo Kiev U19 1-1 Maribor U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.07
Over 2.5
62%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.3
X/1
18%
3.39
X/2
8%
17.2
X/X
8%
6.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
8%
14.3
2/X
5%
22.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
-9.5pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-6.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
2.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +135%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev U19
1-1
AWAY Maribor U19
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 2
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Maribor U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev U19 and Maribor U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Dynamo Kiev U19 carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dynamo Kiev U19 had 64% of the ball to Maribor U19's 36%, shots finished 24-2.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Maribor U19?

Dynamo Kiev U19 1-1 Maribor U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev U19 vs Maribor U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev U19 61%, draw 17%, Maribor U19 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev U19) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
23 Oct 2024
12:00 Brest U19 vs Leverkusen U19 Analysis →
13:00 Legia Warszawa U19 vs Paphos U19 Analysis →
13:00 Benfica U19 vs Feyenoord U19 Analysis →
13:30 Atalanta U19 vs Celtic U19 Analysis →
15:00 FCV Farul U19 vs IMT Novi Beograd U19 Analysis →
15:00 Lokomotiva Zagreb U19 vs Dinamo Minsk U19 Analysis →