Legia Warszawa U19 3-0 Paphos U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.94
Over 2.5
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
9.35
2-3 Goals
32%
2.47
4-5 Goals
30%
2.33
6+ Goals
15%
3.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
34.5
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
3.53
X/2
10%
30.0
X/X
5%
15.25
2/1
11%
18.2
2/2
5%
19.55
2/X
5%
32.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.53 — our 31% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
80%
-20.2pp
19%
Draw
10%
+9.2pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
22%
+19.8pp
59%
Over 2.5
78%
-19.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Warszawa U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Paphos U19 EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -53%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
448 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Warszawa U19
3-0
AWAY Paphos U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Legia Warszawa U19 vs Paphos U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Warszawa U19 swept aside Paphos U19 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Legia Warszawa U19 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Legia Warszawa U19 had 66% of the ball to Paphos U19's 34%, shots finished 25-3.

What was the final score of Legia Warszawa U19 vs Paphos U19?

Legia Warszawa U19 3-0 Paphos U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Warszawa U19 vs Paphos U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Warszawa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Legia Warszawa U19 60%, draw 19%, Paphos U19 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Warszawa U19), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Warszawa U19) ✓ Over 2.5
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