Penya Encarnada 3-4 Ordino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ordino EU Bookmakers 34%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.73/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.85/0.72
+45% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +73%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ordino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Ordino Ordino 0-1 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
20.10.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
03.03.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 0-0 Ordino Ordino AND
10.12.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
22.10.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 2-1 HT 1-1 Ordino Ordino AND
02.04.2023 Ordino Ordino 1-1 HT 1-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Penya Encarnada
3-4
AWAY Ordino
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Ordino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordino nicked a narrow win over Penya Encarnada 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Penya Encarnada at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Penya Encarnada had 51% of the ball to Ordino's 49%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.67 for Ordino.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Ordino?

Penya Encarnada 3-4 Ordino in the Andorra - 1st Division on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Ordino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 42%, draw 26%, Ordino 32%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✗ Under 2.5
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