Walter Ferretti 1-2 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 6 Nov 2025

📅06/11/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.74/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.44
+10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-2 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
15.09.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
18.03.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
28.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
30.07.2023 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
1-2
AWAY Matagalpa
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa nicked a narrow win over Walter Ferretti 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 56% of the ball to Matagalpa's 44%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.33 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Walter Ferretti 1-2 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 06/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 47%, draw 25%, Matagalpa 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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