Elversberg 2-1 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.18
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.09
6+ Goals
15%
9.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.57
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
14%
6.02
X/2
12%
7.04
X/X
10%
5.61
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
13%
4.47
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-3.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+3.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.61/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
+23% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
16.1 Crosses 16.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Nürnberg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 1.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
406 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 9
28 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.05.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
10.12.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.10.2010 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-1
AWAY Nürnberg
1.29 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
339 Passes 300
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elversberg squeezed past Nürnberg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elversberg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Elversberg had 52% of the ball to Nürnberg's 48%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.29 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Elversberg and 2.33 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Nürnberg?

Elversberg 2-1 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 43%, draw 26%, Nürnberg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elversberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
6 Dec 2024
20:30 Paderborn vs Schalke 04 Analysis →