Nürnberg 3-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

Nürnberg
3-0 HT 1-0
Elversberg
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Nürnberg vs Elversberg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.74
Over 2.5
57%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.35
No
45%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.77
2-3 Goals
39%
2.15
4-5 Goals
28%
2.49
6+ Goals
13%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.15
1/X
11%
11.4
X/1
12%
6.38
X/2
14%
6.31
X/X
6%
5.88
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
6%
11.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
33%
+10.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
67%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.7pp
45%
BTTS No
30%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Elversberg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.63
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.9 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Nürnberg vs Elversberg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Elversberg
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.53 xG 1.29
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
208 Passes 442
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Elversberg Elversberg 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.10.2010 Elversberg Elversberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AFK

Nürnberg 3-0 Elversberg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-0
AWAY Elversberg
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
448 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg ran out comfortable winners over Elversberg 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Nürnberg made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Nürnberg had 54% of the ball to Elversberg's 46%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nürnberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nürnberg and 0.00 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Elversberg?

Nürnberg 3-0 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 37%, draw 24%, Elversberg 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elversberg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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