Schalke 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

Schalke 04
2-1 HT 2-1
Hansa Rostock
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Schalke 04 vs Hansa Rostock Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.57
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 24% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
10%
13.35
X/1
9%
4.68
X/2
11%
7.25
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
9%
4.83
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Hansa Rostock — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.66/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
+18% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +81%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.7 Crosses 15.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Schalke 04 vs Hansa Rostock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.98 xG 1.13
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
390 Passes 242
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 12
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
05.03.2022 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-4 HT 2-2 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
25.09.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
19.07.2014 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-3 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 HAZ
05.04.2008 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL1
20.10.2007 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1

Schalke 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
2-1
AWAY Hansa Rostock
0.59 xG 0.82
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 150
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 nicked a narrow win over Hansa Rostock 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 63% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 37%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.59 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 0.83 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Hansa Rostock?

Schalke 04 2-1 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 46%, draw 27%, Hansa Rostock 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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