Hertha Berlin 3-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.44
2-3 Goals
35%
2.12
4-5 Goals
28%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.07
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
5%
11.9
X/1
12%
5.81
X/2
10%
6.6
X/X
11%
6.02
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
16%
3.67
2/X
7%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 38%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.91/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.26
+78% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.1 Crosses 22.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 0.69
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
438 Passes 172
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.01.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-3 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AFK
09.12.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-2 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
25.09.2013 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
25.02.2013 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
22.09.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
21.04.2012 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 1-2 HT 0-2 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin
3-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.43 xG 0.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
330 Passes 421
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin beat Kaiserslautern 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hertha Berlin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hertha Berlin had 44% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 56%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.43 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.67 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern?

Hertha Berlin 3-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 44%, draw 23%, Kaiserslautern 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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