Fluminense vs Cuiaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fluminense v Cuiaba — Team-Based Signals
Fluminense vs Cuiaba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
BR1
1-0
HT 1-0
Cuiaba
BR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Fluminense
BR1
2-2
HT 1-2
Fluminense
BR1
Fluminense 1-0 Cuiaba — Actual Match Statistics
Fluminense squeezed past Cuiaba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fluminense as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (68%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Fluminense had 58% of the ball to Cuiaba's 42%, shots finished 24-3, expected goals 2.03 to 0.05 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fluminense's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fluminense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fluminense and 0.83 for Cuiaba.
What was the final score of Fluminense vs Cuiaba?
Fluminense 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Serie A on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Cuiaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fluminense win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fluminense 56%, draw 25%, Cuiaba 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fluminense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.