Alianza 1-1 Isidro Metapan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — El Salvador - Primera Liga, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.8pp
20%
Draw
27%
-7.0pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Isidro Metapan EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.83/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.13
+28% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Isidro Metapan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
3 Corners 6
03.11.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
01.09.2024 Alianza Alianza 1-2 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
28.03.2024 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 0-3 HT 0-1 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
25.01.2024 Alianza Alianza 0-0 HT 0-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
19.11.2023 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan 3-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Alianza ELSAL
24.09.2023 Alianza Alianza 1-0 HT 1-0 Isidro Metapan Isidro Metapan ELSAL
POST-MATCH Alianza vs Isidro Metapan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza and Isidro Metapan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Alianza at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza and 0.83 for Isidro Metapan.

What was the final score of Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Alianza 1-1 Isidro Metapan in the El Salvador - Primera Liga on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza vs Isidro Metapan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Alianza 50%, draw 20%, Isidro Metapan 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alianza), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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