Dordrecht 3-2 Telstar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Dec 2024

Dordrecht
3-2 HT 0-1
Telstar
📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Dordrecht vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.43
Over 2.5
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.22
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.03
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.22 — our 27% vs market 14.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.1
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
11%
5.44
X/2
13%
6.38
X/X
13%
5.92
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
15%
3.86
2/X
5%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v Telstar — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Telstar EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.16/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/0.98
-12% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.3 Crosses 19.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Dordrecht vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Telstar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 1.22
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
15.12.2023 Telstar Telstar 0-2 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
21.01.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
28.10.2022 Telstar Telstar 2-2 HT 2-2 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
18.03.2022 Telstar Telstar 1-0 HT 0-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
17.09.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-1 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2

Dordrecht 3-2 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
3-2
AWAY Telstar
2.00 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 220
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs Telstar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht edged past Telstar 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dordrecht as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dordrecht had 52% of the ball to Telstar's 48%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 2.00 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dordrecht and 0.67 for Telstar.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs Telstar?

Dordrecht 3-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs Telstar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 42%, draw 25%, Telstar 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dordrecht), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ BTTS Yes
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