Helmond Sport 0-0 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
8.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.03
1/2
7%
24.3
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
6.36
X/2
12%
5.35
X/X
9%
5.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
28.0
2/2
13%
3.17
2/X
9%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+9.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.7pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.06
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +59%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.3 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.50 xG 1.03
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
362 Passes 347
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
18.08.2023 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
14.04.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 1-2 HT 1-1 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
16.12.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-0 HT 0-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.05.2022 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 1-1 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
06.08.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 2-0 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
0-0
AWAY Den Bosch
0.86 xG 0.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
299 Passes 287
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport and Den Bosch fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Helmond Sport at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 51% of the ball to Den Bosch's 49%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.86 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Helmond Sport had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Helmond Sport and 0.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?

Helmond Sport 0-0 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 43%, draw 25%, Den Bosch 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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