MVV Maastricht 2-2 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 6 Dec 2024

📅06/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.29
Over 2.5
55%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.81
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
13%
7.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.65
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.87
X/2
8%
7.63
X/X
11%
5.6
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
18%
4.94
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.6pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MVV Maastricht EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.83/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.34
+26% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
18.3 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MVV Maastricht
2-2
AWAY Vitesse
1.46 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 2
262 Passes 297
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MVV Maastricht and Vitesse couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was MVV Maastricht at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MVV Maastricht had 49% of the ball to Vitesse's 51%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.46 to 1.53.

What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

MVV Maastricht 2-2 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 06/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 41%, draw 26%, Vitesse 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (MVV Maastricht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (MVV Maastricht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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