Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Arbroath — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
7%
22.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.53 — our 34% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
22%
4.5
X/2
6%
7.47
X/X
12%
4.19
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
12%
6.12
2/X
7%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-1.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Arbroath EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.06/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.31
-30% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 64%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
38.0 Crosses 14.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Arbroath
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
13.09.2025 Arbroath Arbroath 0-5 HT 0-2 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
17.02.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-1 HT 1-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
23.12.2023 Arbroath Arbroath 1-1 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
28.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 3-0 HT 0-0 Arbroath Arbroath İKCL
09.12.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-5 HT 0-4 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCK
05.03.2022 Arbroath Arbroath 1-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Arbroath
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arbroath squeezed past Dunfermline Athletic 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Dunfermline Athletic at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunfermline Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 0.67 for Arbroath.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Arbroath?

Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 Arbroath in the Scotland - Championship on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Arbroath?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 51%, draw 26%, Arbroath 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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