Sheffield United 4-0 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 6 Dec 2025

Sheffield United
4-0 HT 3-0
Stoke City
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2025/2026

Sheffield United vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.82
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
15%
4.76
X/2
10%
7.45
X/X
18%
4.57
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.65
2/X
4%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sheffield United v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.74/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
+12% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.0 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sheffield United vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stoke City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.42 xG 0.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
350 Passes 289
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.04.2025 Stoke City Stoke City 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
26.10.2024 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
14.01.2023 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 2-1 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL
08.10.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 3-1 HT 2-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
02.04.2022 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
16.10.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-1 HT 0-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNCL

Sheffield United 4-0 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
4-0
AWAY Stoke City
2.43 xG 0.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
173 Passes 301
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
39 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United swept aside Stoke City 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sheffield United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 39% of the ball to Stoke City's 61%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.43 to 0.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sheffield United and 1.00 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Stoke City?

Sheffield United 4-0 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 47%, draw 27%, Stoke City 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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