Atletico Astorga 3-0 Samano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.56
Over 2.5
48%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Astorga EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Samano EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Astorga
3-0
AWAY Samano
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Astorga vs Samano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Astorga cruised past Samano 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atletico Astorga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Astorga had 45% of the ball to Samano's 55%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Atletico Astorga vs Samano?

Atletico Astorga 3-0 Samano in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Astorga vs Samano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Astorga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Atletico Astorga 46%, draw 26%, Samano 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Astorga) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Astorga) ✗ Under 2.5
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