UCAM Murcia 2-0 Xerez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Xerez EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
0.94/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.73
-28% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +67%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Xerez
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 6
12.01.2025 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-1 HT 0-0 Xerez Xerez İS4
01.09.2024 Xerez Xerez 2-1 HT 1-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
2-0
AWAY Xerez
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Xerez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia beat Xerez 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day UCAM Murcia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 44% of the ball to Xerez's 56%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Xerez led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.50 for Xerez.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Xerez?

UCAM Murcia 2-0 Xerez in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Xerez?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 38%, draw 34%, Xerez 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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