Real Oviedo II 1-2 Lealtad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.49
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
32%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
63%
+4.6pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
15%
Away Win
15%
-0.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Lealtad EU Bookmakers 18%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
4.01/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.20/2.41
+137% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / -39%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Lealtad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
20.02.2021 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 2-1 HT 0-1 Lealtad Lealtad İS3
29.11.2020 Lealtad Lealtad 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo II
1-2
AWAY Lealtad
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo II vs Lealtad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lealtad nicked a narrow win over Real Oviedo II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Oviedo II at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Real Oviedo II had 66% of the ball to Lealtad's 34%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Oviedo II and 0.50 for Lealtad.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo II vs Lealtad?

Real Oviedo II 1-2 Lealtad in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo II vs Lealtad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo II win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo II 67%, draw 18%, Lealtad 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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