Poblense 3-0 Atletic Lleida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
3%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poblense EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 23%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.47/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.40
-7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Poblense
3-0
AWAY Atletic Lleida
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Poblense vs Atletic Lleida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poblense swept aside Atletic Lleida 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Poblense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Poblense had 64% of the ball to Atletic Lleida's 36%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Poblense vs Atletic Lleida?

Poblense 3-0 Atletic Lleida in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poblense vs Atletic Lleida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poblense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Poblense 48%, draw 31%, Atletic Lleida 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Poblense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Poblense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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