Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.56
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.91
X/2
9%
6.26
X/X
19%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
10%
3.89
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.8pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
27%
Away Win
35%
-8.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
2.00/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
+13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
22.3 Crosses 19.2
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.38 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 Passes 307
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-2 HT 2-1 Bochum Bochum AFK
06.05.2022 Bochum Bochum 2-1 HT 1-1 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL1
14.12.2021 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
28.01.2020 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
02.08.2019 Bochum Bochum 3-3 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
17.03.2019 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 HT 0-0 Bochum Bochum AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
1-0
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.96 xG 1.35
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
204 Passes 322
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bochum nicked a narrow win over Arminia Bielefeld 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bochum as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bochum had 41% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 59%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.96 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arminia Bielefeld led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bochum and 2.17 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Bochum 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bochum 41%, draw 32%, Arminia Bielefeld 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bochum) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bochum) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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