Darmstadt 98 3-2 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.48
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
7.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.2
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1 EV+ ✓
25%
4.51
X/2
7%
9.47
X/X
12%
6.05
2/1
8%
20.65
2/2
8%
6.81
2/X
5%
15.15
Value flag · X/1 at 4.51 — our 25% vs market 17.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.63/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.65
-10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
20.0 Crosses 19.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.80 xG 1.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 3-0 HT 1-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
04.10.2024 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-3 HT 2-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
21.04.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
15.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
15.01.2022 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-2 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
30.07.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
3-2
AWAY Karlsruher SC
2.78 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
24 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
413 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
29 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 edged past Karlsruher SC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Darmstadt 98 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 58% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 42%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.78 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Darmstadt 98's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 1.67 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Karlsruher SC?

Darmstadt 98 3-2 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 54%, draw 24%, Karlsruher SC 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Darmstadt 98), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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