Energie Cottbus 3-2 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2025

Energie Cottbus
3-2 HT 1-0
MSV Duisburg
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.32
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.58
X/2
9%
6.41
X/X
12%
5.19
2/1
9%
24.85
2/2
13%
4.12
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.5pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Energie Cottbus v MSV Duisburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Energie Cottbus EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
0.78/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.69
+17% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
20.6 Crosses 19.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Energie Cottbus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
18.04.2015 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL3
18.10.2014 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 2-0 HT 0-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
15.03.2013 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2
06.10.2012 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 0-1 HT 0-1 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
18.12.2011 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 1-1 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL2
22.07.2011 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus AL2

Energie Cottbus 3-2 MSV Duisburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Energie Cottbus
3-2
AWAY MSV Duisburg
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
338 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Energie Cottbus squeezed past MSV Duisburg 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Energie Cottbus as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Energie Cottbus had 48% of the ball to MSV Duisburg's 52%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MSV Duisburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Energie Cottbus and 1.33 for MSV Duisburg.

What was the final score of Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg?

Energie Cottbus 3-2 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Energie Cottbus vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Energie Cottbus win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Energie Cottbus 44%, draw 25%, MSV Duisburg 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Energie Cottbus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Energie Cottbus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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