Hoffenheim II 1-0 Jahn Regensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
4.71
X/2
9%
8.81
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.35
2/2
12%
6.06
2/X
7%
14.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.35 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hoffenheim II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
0.52/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.71
-72% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.8 Crosses 20.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hoffenheim II
1-0
AWAY Jahn Regensburg
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
317 Passes 213
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hoffenheim II edged past Jahn Regensburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hoffenheim II as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hoffenheim II had 56% of the ball to Jahn Regensburg's 44%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Hoffenheim II 1-0 Jahn Regensburg in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hoffenheim II vs Jahn Regensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hoffenheim II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hoffenheim II 49%, draw 25%, Jahn Regensburg 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hoffenheim II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hoffenheim II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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