Viktoria Köln 0-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.59
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.85
X/2
8%
7.87
X/X
9%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
12%
5.46
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.76/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.79
+0% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.7 Crosses 17.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Köln
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulm 1846
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
04.05.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
02.12.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-3 HT 0-2 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Köln
0-1
AWAY Ulm 1846
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 5
479 Passes 245
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Köln vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulm 1846 nicked a narrow win over Viktoria Köln 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Köln at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Köln had 63% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 37%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulm 1846 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Viktoria Köln and 2.50 for Ulm 1846.

What was the final score of Viktoria Köln vs Ulm 1846?

Viktoria Köln 0-1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Köln vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Köln 51%, draw 22%, Ulm 1846 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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