Freiburg II 1-3 Bayern Alzenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.61
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
17%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
58%
+5.5pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
17%
Away Win
21%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.3pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -16%
2.21/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.16
+3% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg II
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Bayern Alzenau
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 2-2 HT 1-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
20.04.2021 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-3 HT 1-1 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
22.12.2020 Freiburg II Freiburg II 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
16.10.2019 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-0 HT 0-0 Freiburg II Freiburg II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Freiburg II vs Bayern Alzenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Alzenau saw off Freiburg II 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Freiburg II carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bayern Alzenau led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Freiburg II and 1.25 for Bayern Alzenau.

What was the final score of Freiburg II vs Bayern Alzenau?

Freiburg II 1-3 Bayern Alzenau in the Germany - Regional League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg II vs Bayern Alzenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Freiburg II win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Freiburg II 63%, draw 19%, Bayern Alzenau 17%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Freiburg II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Freiburg II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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