Luckenwalde 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 6 Dec 2025

Luckenwalde
1-1 HT 0-1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2025/2026

Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Luckenwalde v Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.25/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.56
-9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.07.2025 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
10.11.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 5-2 HT 3-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
12.11.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 4-0 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
28.03.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-1 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
05.08.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde and Rot-Weiss Erfurt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rot-Weiss Erfurt at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.83 for Rot-Weiss Erfurt.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Luckenwalde 1-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 29%, draw 24%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ BTTS Yes
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