St. Truidense 3-2 Club Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
10%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.4
1/2
11%
22.25
1/X
7%
12.5
X/1
10%
7.15
X/2
13%
5.55
X/X
10%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
27.5
2/2
24%
2.96
2/X
6%
12.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+4.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.4pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.71/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.33
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 82%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
20.5 Crosses 18.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Club Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.91 xG 1.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
337 Passes 503
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 40
13 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
15.02.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-2 HT 2-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
23.11.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 7-0 HT 3-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.03.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
01.10.2023 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
19.01.2023 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-1 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Club Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense nicked a narrow win over Club Brugge 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Club Brugge at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Truidense and 2.33 for Club Brugge.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Club Brugge?

St. Truidense 3-2 Club Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Club Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 29%, draw 23%, Club Brugge 48%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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