Cercle Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.7
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
11%
4.8
X/2
14%
7.84
X/X
9%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.82
2/X
5%
13.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.5pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Standard Liege EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.67/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.45
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
31.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
23.9 Crosses 14.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cercle Brugge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Standard Liege
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.90 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 Passes 288
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
27 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.08.2025 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-3 HT 0-3 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
01.02.2025 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
23.11.2024 Standard Liege Standard Liege 1-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
26.01.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-1 HT 0-0 Standard Liege Standard Liege BEL
19.08.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-1 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
27.05.2023 Standard Liege Standard Liege 0-4 HT 0-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cercle Brugge
1-2
AWAY Standard Liege
1.70 xG 0.71
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
374 Passes 163
78% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 19
42 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Standard Liege edged past Cercle Brugge 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cercle Brugge at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cercle Brugge had 65% of the ball to Standard Liege's 35%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.71 — on chances, Cercle Brugge could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cercle Brugge and 0.50 for Standard Liege.

What was the final score of Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Standard Liege in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cercle Brugge vs Standard Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cercle Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cercle Brugge 45%, draw 23%, Standard Liege 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cercle Brugge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cercle Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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