Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.37
Draw
15%
4.49
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.23
Over 2.5
64%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.41
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
16%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.63
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
4%
18.3
X/1 EV+ ✗
31%
3.95
X/2
3%
15.8
X/X
5%
7.13
2/1
10%
21.6
2/2
7%
13.15
2/X
6%
21.25
Value flag · X/1 at 3.95 — our 31% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
68%
+4.0pp
15%
Draw
19%
-4.2pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.2pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/2.45
+2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.1 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gent
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.68 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 Passes 377
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Gent Gent 2-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
25.05.2025 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
05.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-3 HT 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
26.12.2024 Gent Gent 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
04.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEK
19.10.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
1-1
AWAY Gent
2.19 xG 0.89
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
499 Passes 248
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 9
42 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise and Gent shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Union Saint-Gilloise carried 72% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 63% of the ball to Gent's 37%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.19 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 1.00 for Gent.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 72%, draw 15%, Gent 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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