Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gent v Union Saint-Gilloise — Team-Based Signals
Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Gent 2-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Actual Match Statistics
Union Saint-Gilloise squeezed past Gent 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Gent had 48% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 52%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.36 to 3.50 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Saint-Gilloise's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gent and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.
What was the final score of Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Gent 2-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gent vs Union Saint-Gilloise?
Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Gent 18%, draw 24%, Union Saint-Gilloise 58%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.