Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.13
Away
16%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.71
2-3 Goals
40%
2.16
4-5 Goals
27%
2.38
6+ Goals
14%
4.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
82%
-17.5pp
20%
Draw
12%
+8.0pp
16%
Away Win
6%
+9.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 8%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +15%
2.35/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.94
+0% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.7 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gent
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.03 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
292 Passes 383
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Gent Gent 0-3 HT 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
26.12.2024 Gent Gent 1-3 HT 0-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
04.12.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 3-2 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEK
19.10.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
10.03.2024 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 1-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
26.11.2023 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise
3-1
AWAY Gent
1.99 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 4
322 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 6
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise got the better of Gent 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise had 46% of the ball to Gent's 54%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 1.99 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Saint-Gilloise and 0.83 for Gent.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Union Saint-Gilloise 3-1 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise 65%, draw 20%, Gent 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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