Genk 2-1 Anderlecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.52
2-3 Goals
44%
1.91
4-5 Goals
20%
2.82
6+ Goals
9%
7.82
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 27% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.61
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.07
X/2
6%
8.03
X/X
13%
5.53
2/1
6%
21.75
2/2
13%
5.36
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.3pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Anderlecht EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +6%
1.86/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.52
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.1 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Anderlecht
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.29 xG 0.98
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
409 Passes 368
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
32 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2025 Anderlecht Anderlecht 1-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
22.12.2024 Genk Genk 2-0 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
17.09.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0-2 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
11.05.2024 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 1-0 Genk Genk BEL
20.04.2024 Genk Genk 2-1 HT 1-0 Anderlecht Anderlecht BEL
23.12.2023 Anderlecht Anderlecht 2-1 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
2-1
AWAY Anderlecht
1.68 xG 1.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
446 Passes 356
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genk vs Anderlecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk squeezed past Anderlecht 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Genk had 55% of the ball to Anderlecht's 45%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.68 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Genk and 1.00 for Anderlecht.

What was the final score of Genk vs Anderlecht?

Genk 2-1 Anderlecht in the Belgium - Pro League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Anderlecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Genk 50%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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