Dijon (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
5%
12.23
Draw
19%
8.78
Away
76%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
3.08
No
47%
1.32
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
2%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
2%
2/2
58%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
5%
Home Win
5%
+0.7pp
19%
Draw
8%
+11.2pp
76%
Away Win
88%
-11.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
28%
+24.7pp
47%
BTTS No
72%
-24.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
0.54/2.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.28/0.48
-33% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +74%
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
235 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 479 · 85%
8.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 42.1
8.4 Crosses 29.3
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dijon (K)
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.37 xG 2.70
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
138 Passes 596
59% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 49
8 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2025 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 4-1 HT 2-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
08.01.2025 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) FRK1
12.10.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 0-3 HT 0-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
03.03.2024 Dijon (K) Dijon (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
0-3
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.03 xG 1.58
26% Ball Possession 74%
1 Total Shots 17
0 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 10
182 Passes 607
73% Pass Accuracy 87%
5 Box Touches 36
9 Crosses 46
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) swept aside Dijon (K) 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 26% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 74%, shots finished 1-17, expected goals 0.03 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dijon (K) and 3.00 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Dijon (K) 0-3 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 5%, draw 19%, Lyon (K) 76%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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