Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - League Cup, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.98
6+ Goals
6%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 36% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 18%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +68% / +68%
1.48/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% / -1%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando Pirates
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Marumo Gallants
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.78 xG 0.75
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
385 Passes 235
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
13.04.2025 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFK
01.03.2025 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 2-0 HT 1-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
24.12.2024 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 8-1 HT 1-1 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
28.01.2023 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants 0-2 HT 0-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
24.08.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando Pirates
1-0
AWAY Marumo Gallants
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates squeezed past Marumo Gallants 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Orlando Pirates had 60% of the ball to Marumo Gallants's 40%, shots finished 19-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Orlando Pirates and 0.83 for Marumo Gallants.

What was the final score of Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Orlando Pirates 1-0 Marumo Gallants in the South Afrika - League Cup on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando Pirates vs Marumo Gallants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orlando Pirates 55%, draw 26%, Marumo Gallants 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →