Rijeka 3-1 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.32
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
71%
-6.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.8pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.42/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.82
+0% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.6 Crosses 17.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.96 xG 1.88
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
16 Corners 4
392 Passes 147
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
43 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2025 Vukovar Vukovar 3-2 HT 1-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
3-1
AWAY Vukovar
2.01 xG 0.36
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
425 Passes 153
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka got the better of Vukovar 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rijeka had 68% of the ball to Vukovar's 32%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.01 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Vukovar?

Rijeka 3-1 Vukovar in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 65%, draw 21%, Vukovar 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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