Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 20.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.22/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.16
+4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.0 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.68 xG 0.64
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
330 Passes 304
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.09.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
03.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.03.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
03.04.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
1-1
AWAY Hajduk Split
0.60 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
392 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 6
6 Yellow Cards 11
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb and Hajduk Split shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dinamo Zagreb at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 59% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 41%, shots finished 13-4, expected goals 0.60 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 0.83 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 55%, draw 24%, Hajduk Split 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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